Abstract The game of cornhole is structured quite simply: hierarchically from round to game, a game is won by scoring or exceeding 21 points before your opponent. Because each game's score is the sum of the point differential in each round, to optimize the probability of winning a given game the objective should be to create as … Continue reading Informing Defensive Strategy in Cornhole Through Probabilistic Modeling
Abstract The notion of a "good foul" is a prominent concept in basketball; as such, it is virtually a universally applied strategy. The concept suggests that rather than concede what would be a "guaranteed basket", defenders should foul the shooting player. Ideally, this causes the shooter to miss the field goal attempt and forces said … Continue reading Establishing the Point Equivalency Value of Fouls in the NBA
As is well-noted throughout NBA circles and is logically discernible, transition possessions on average produce more points than the mean possession. This season has operated no differently. So far this season, transition possessions have produced an average of 1.1 points/possession, whereas a non-transition possession produces an average of 1.03 points. Thus, a 0.07 point/possession difference is … Continue reading Who Benefit’s From the NBA’s Recent Pace Revolution: Transition in Effect. (2.1.1)
As we approach the end of the first third of the NBA season, paradoxically, the picture seems to have become more nebulous. Questions concerning the legitimacy of the Kings and Mavericks, the sustainability of the Clippers, the potency of the Raptors, and a multitude of others involving the likes of Jimmy Butler, Brad Stevens, and … Continue reading Who Benefits from the NBA’s Recent Pace Revolution? (Part 1 of 3)
Adjusted Win Percentage simply expresses win percentage in conjunction with the given team's year-to-year deviation.
Unless you have recently emerged from a nuclear bunker after a prolonged sabbatical, it is almost certain that you were aware of the ongoing feud between Jimmy Butler and the Timberwolves organization. Thirteen games into the season and on a five game skid, Thibodeau decided that the Timberwolves can't win as currently constructed, and dealt … Continue reading Synthesizing Old and New: Analysis of the Jimmy Butler Trade
Welcome to the first series on this website, "The Otto Porter Investigation". This inquisitive series is based on what I have nicknamed, "The Otto Porter Theorem". Essentially, I have constructed the uninformed thesis that Otto Porter is the absolute worst player in which a five-man rotation can be built to take down the Warrior's 2017-18 … Continue reading Intro to the Otto Porter Investigation
The Hidden Algorithm 